LogoThe Transfer Flow
Upgrade
2026/27 Previews
Variance Betting
TTF Podcast
Our Team
Advertise With Us
Login
Subscribe
  • Home
  • Posts
  • Outrights Longshot Bias

Outrights Longshot Bias

Why does the model consistently show favourites as undervalued and longshots as overvalued in outright markets? We explore risk aversion, odds myopia, and rating variance to understand this persistent pattern.

Ted Knutson
Ted Knutson

Nov 14, 2025

•

17 min read

Keep Reading

View more
caret-right
The Transfer Flow

The Transfer Flow

FREE transfer newsletter with rumours + smart analysis from industry insiders.


Home

Posts

Account

Upgrade

© 2026 The Transfer Flow.
beehiivPowered by beehiiv